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Inflation targeting: Encyclopedia BETA


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Inflation targeting

Inflation targeting is an economic policy in which the central bank of a country estimates and makes public a projected or "target" inflation rate and then attempts to steer actual inflation towards the target through the use of interest rate changes and other monetary tools.

Because interest rates and the inflation rate tend to be inversely related, the likely moves of the central bank to raise or lower interest rates become more transparent (under the policy of inflation targeting).

Example A) if inflation appears to be above the target, the bank is likely to raise interest rates. This usually (but not always) has the effect over time of cooling the economy and bringing down inflation.



Example B) if inflation appears to be below the target, the bank is likely to lower interest rates. This usually (again, not always) has the effect over time of accelerating the economy and raising inflation.



Under inflation targeting, investors know what the central bank considers the target inflation rate to be and therefore may more easily factor in likely interest rate changes in their investment choices. This is viewed by inflation targeters as leading to increased economic stability.

Inflation targeting is in use by Britain, South Korea and Brazil, among other countries, and there is some empirical evidence that it does what its advocates claim. [1]



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