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Hello Dr. Dombek,
My name is Kristen. For my earth science class, I need to do a project where I ask an expert a question about weather. If you can please answer it would be a big help to my project. My question is; Do you think the 2010 Farmer's Almanac is accurate for the Town of Wantagh, NY. Or do you think the Almanac is accurate in general.
Thank you for your time,
Kristen
Hi Kristen,
The Farmer's Almanac really has to be taken with a grain of salt. The forecasts in the Almanac are made up way in advance. For example, the forecasts for 2010 were finalized sometime in the spring of 2009. The methodology differs from the Old Farmer's Almanac to the Farmer's Almanac. However, the forecasts are basically made up by looking at recent trends, and comparing the current or recent weather with what happened in past years. Often times an "analog" or comparison year is chosen as a guide for what will happen in the upcoming year across the U.S. At best, this forecast is an educated guess. It is extremely difficult to forecast the weather with any degree of detail beyond a week to 10 days.
That is my opinion. Hopefully, this answered your question.
Sincerely,
Dave Dombek
Expert Senior Meteorologist
AccuWeather.com
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Dave Dombek
Expertise
A weather enthusiast from an early age, Dave Dombek is now an AccuWeather meteorology expert.
Experience
Dave received his B.S. degree in meteorology from the Pennsylvania State University in May of 1980. Dave joined AccuWeather in July of 1980, beginning in the Snow Warning Service late that fall after his few month period of training. Within a short period of time, Dave got involved in radio broadcasting. He spent over 25 years broadcasting forecasts on radio stations throughout the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast states, and has also done newspaper forecasts and television briefings. Currently, Dave is the lead television briefer for all of AccuWeather's television clients in the northeatern quarter of the nation. In his daily forecasting routine, Dave helps coordinate the forecasts in the northeastern part of the country. He is also the Director of Forecaster Hiring and is in charge of hiring new meteorologists. Finally, Dave is the supervisor of the climatology department at AccuWeather. An avid outdoorsman, Dave enjoys hunting and trout fishing. He also enjoys watching football and is a student of history and current events. If Dave doesn't already have enough on his plate, he is married with two teenage daughters. He also leads a small Messianic congregation in the State College, Pa. area.
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