Expert: Nate Smith - 3/17/2009

Question
Hi Nate,

I have been making teaser bets on the nfl for the past couple of years, with some success.

I was told that since the books are normally pretty sharp, a teaser (ive used 6,7,10,13 and 21pt) makes it that much easier.
What are your thoughts?

Also, do you know of any stats that lead towards better teaser odds (aside from Wong's theory).
Example: a game with a low total might be better for teasers since less points are expected to be scored and the game will be decided by a smaller margin.
It would seem to make sense, but i dont know of anybody who has done the research.

thanks!

Answer
Hi Cory,

 Thanks for the great question!  Personally, I have used teaser bets in the past (6 points) and have had decent success.  I recommend that if you do play a teaser that you keep it to 2 teams.  When you spread it out over too many teams you leave yourself open to something going wrong, and it always does!  Don't tease totals, stick to the spread.  I agree with the low total theory and I've employed it myself.  

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