About Robb Beitko Expertise I can answer any question in regards to Sports Handicapping and Sports Gambling. I have a strong background in football and basketball sports betting.
Experience Over 25 years of football and basketball handicapping
I have been making teaser bets on the nfl for the past couple of years, with some success.
I was told that since the books are normally pretty sharp, a teaser (ive used 6,7,10,13 and 21pt) makes it that much easier.
What are your thoughts?
Also, do you know of any stats that lead towards better teaser odds (aside from Wong's theory).
Example: a game with a low total might be better for teasers since less points are expected to be scored and the game will be decided by a smaller margin.
It would seem to make sense, but i dont know of anybody who has done the research.
thanks!
Answer Cory,
Yes, we know of lots of smart 'cappers that have continued to pound their books using teasers only.
Especially in the NFL. Typically, in the NFL, you don't see a bunch of blow out games (ie. college ball), so getting an extra 13 or 14 points on any game in the NFL is always a plus.
The negatives: you need to pick 3 or 4 games and win all of them.
and the juice is always quite high. Also, have you ever checked your winning % on a teaser v.s. straight up.
In other words, you bet one teaser with 4 games, now, take those same 4 games and betting each one equally (say $100 each), how would you make out?
It seems that alot of times, you make a 4 team teaser wager, you win 3 easily (wouldn't have any needed the tease) and then lose the 4th game.
If you are a very sharp NFL handicapper, teasers CAN pay off.
As far as theories, yes, there's lot of them.
One of my favorites is to take the highest total of the weekend and play under (the public always jumps on high scoring teams and plays the over, it's not in Vegas's best interest if the game goes over... you'll see about a 70% return on that investment over the years. )
