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Question
What are your plays for the Kentucky Derby? Can you give an example of a bet or two you will be placing for the Kentucky Derby? Straight up or exotics I'd like to hear your thoughts on who you will be wagering on and why. Thanks!

Answer
Hi, Bryan!
My betting approach on the Kentucky Derby is to play/ attack the Trifecta's and Superfecta's because there is so much public (uninformed money) in the wagering pools and especially the exotic pools (exacta, trifecta & superfecta).
My handicapping approach on the Kentucky Derby is not so much about saying/ bragging, "I picked the Derby winner", but more about finding a couple of key horses to use in my exotics with an additional group of horses in the race that should finish around my key horses. This way I don't have to be perfect and I can still be correct and cash in on my exotic tickets.
I believe the reason most people are unable to correctly handicap the Kentucky Derby is because they don't understand how to correctly judge 3-year-olds as these types of horses are still developing. I use my own concept of Projections to determine how much a Derby horse may jump up in their form cycle. This is something I've developed over many years.
I won't give you all of my selections, but I will give you my two key horses I will be using (barring heavy rain & etc) which are: #5-Normandy Invasion (12-1) & #16-Orb (7/2).
Now remember, I didn't say these are the two Derby winners I'm saying these are the two horses in the race that look to me to best run into the top exotic spots so I can hit the trifecta and superfecta.
I hope this answers your question and have fun on Derby Day and Good Luck!

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Hal Wafer

Expertise

Hal's Expertise covers the horse racing (pari-mutuel) industry and he can answer all handicapping questions from new fans, novice horseplayers or experienced bettors. His horse racing turf-knowledge is extensive and covers the full scope of the industry from Handicapping, Odds, Handicapping Principles, Handicapping Tournaments, Tournament Mentoring and Industry Operations on Multiple Levels. Additionally, he is the founder of a innovative website that will be LAUNCHING SOON called RogueHandicapper.com. This website will offer the new fan or novice horseplayer sophisticated tools which will put the new fan on "par" with experienced horseplayers daily at the track or "level" the playing field for the new contest enthusiast in the tournament room!

Experience

•NHC Players Committee Member NTRA •Horse Racing Analyst BetAmerica.com •Treasurer Greyhound Pets of America-Tucson Chapter •Director of Marketing/ Assistant Director of Simulcasting/ Assistant Director of Player Development Tucson Greyhound Park •Technical Gaming Consultant Pacific Productions, Movie "INGENIOUS". INGENIOUS stars Dallas Roberts ("3:10 to Yuma", "Walk the Line") and two-time Academy Award Best Actor Nominee, Jeremy Renner ("The Hurt Locker", "The Town"). •Consultant Youbet.com •Bookmaker/ Oddsmaker Racing Services, de Mexico •Race & Sports Book Operations Coast Hotel & Resorts •Race Book Operations Coast Hotel & Resorts

Organizations
•NTRA/ NHC Players Committee Member (2010–to-Present) The National Handicapping Championship Players Panel is a 13 member panel that is hand selected. Hal Wafer was only one of three selected to be added to this select committee in 2010. The Players Committee represents tournament players by meeting with the National Thoroughbred Racing Association on a regular basis to discuss suggestions, ideas and concerns of NHC contest participants. This panel is the players voice!

Publications
•Published one of the industry’s first “How to Books” on handicapping contests titled “A Survey of Track Handicapping Contests-Rules-Suggestions-Potential” was published in 1999 by Harness Tracks of America, which was used as a guide by The Daily Racing Form and NTRA for creating their National Handicapping Championship •BetAmerica.com •Tracksidebroadcasting.com •Tucson Greyhound Park •Arizona Player Gaming and Entertainment Guide

Education/Credentials
•University of Arizona Animal Science/Race Track Industry Program 2000 •Pima Community College International Business Studies 1997 •SUNY at Morrisville Journalism Technology & Communications 1996

Awards and Honors
Tournament Success: •Qualified for & Finished 14th in the 2012 Breeders' Cup Betting Challenge which is the richest "live" money tournament in the United States. •Finished 8th at "The Battle of Saratoga" 2012 an NHC Qualifier. •Finished 3rd at "The Southwest Shootout" 2007 at Sunland Park that is a NHC Qualifier for the NHC IX Finals. •Finished *20 at DRF/ NTRA National Handicapping Championship IX held in Las Vegas, NV. •Finished 4th at "The Battle of Saratoga" 2010 an NHC Qualifier which qualified him for the NHC XII. •Finished 5th at Green Valley NHC Qualifier in 2009. Tournament Mentoring Success: •Mentored numerous Tournament players in qualifying for NHC Finals & varying contest championships and cashing-in at these events! Technical Gaming Consultant Pacific Productions, Movie "INGENIOUS" •INGENIOUS stars Dallas Roberts ("3:10 to Yuma", "Walk the Line") and two-time Academy Award Best Actor Nominee, Jeremy Renner ("The Hurt Locker", "The Town").

Past/Present Clients
•BetAmerica.com •YouBet.com •Tracksidebroadcasting.com •California Racing Fairs (C.A.R.F.) •United States Trotting Association •Michigan Harness Horseman's Association

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