Military Policy & Weapons/Chances for Nuclear War

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Question
How likely is war between russia china and western nations?

With russia and the US tension almost hitting rock bottom and the iranian nuclear programme causing alot of tension also including the war in syria what is the likelihood of a global nuclear war?

Answer
Kevin:

I place the odds of a global nuclear war involving Russia, China and/or the U.S. at close to zero. Certainly, these nations have moments of political tensions in their relations, but they are able to manage these tensions so that they do not get out of hand. Also, bear in mind that tensions between the West and Russia and China were at their highest during the Cold War. As a kid, I remember practicing drills at school to prepare us for nuclear attack. The Cuban Missile Crisis in 1962 brought Washington and Moscow to the brink of nuclear conflagration. And there were those in the U.S. who talked about employing nuclear weapons against China during the Korean War. Fortunately, we face none of these high tensions today vis--vis Moscow and Beijing.

I'm more concerned about the prospects of nuclear conflict between India and Pakistan, or Iran and Israel, should the former succeed in developing atomic weapons.

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James Bruno

Expertise

Diplomacy and foreign affairs. How government decision-making takes place. Interactions of the White House, State Dept., Pentagon, Congress and CIA in formulating policy. How governments deal with each other. Area expertise includes Afghanistan, Indochina, Europe, Cuba. Served in Guantanamo. Currently a member of the Diplomatic Readiness Reserve and Standby Response Corps.

Experience

23-years as a diplomat with the U.S. State Dept. Previously at the Defense Dept. Prior to joining government, worked as a journalist with major news organizations.

Publications
CBS-News, UPI; various newspapers. Bestselling novelist: TRIBE, PERMANENT INTERESTS and CHASM.

Education/Credentials
M.A. - U.S. Naval War College
M.A. - Columbia Univ.
B.A. - George Washington Univ.

Awards and Honors
Various in government.

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