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QUESTION: Hi! I have a probability question about two things happening at the same time.

Let's say that I randomly turn on my TV 10 times every day but just for 10 minutes each time. (Most of the time I am NOT watching TV.) My home power grid fails once every day, at a random time. What is the probability of the power failing WHILE I am watching TV? Thanks!

ANSWER: Your TV is on for 100 minutes out of 1440 in a day.

If the power outage is truly random, the probability it happens in those 100 minutes is 100/1440, which is slightly less than 7%.

---------- FOLLOW-UP ----------

QUESTION: Thanks for the reply! I have a follow up question. I thought that 100/1440 = 6.9% would be the probability that I am watching TV at any point in the day.

Wouldn't the probability of a power outage during those 100 minutes be 1/1440 = 0.069%? What if the power goes out twice a day? Thanks!

You're right -- for

If the two outages are each random (not dependent at all) then this is a slightly different problem.

The probability of NOT seeing outage #1 is 1340/1440.

The probability of NOT seeing outage #2 is 1340/1440.

The probability of seeing NEITHER is (1340/1440) × (1340/1440).

The probability of NOT seeing NEITHER (i.e. seeing one of them) is:

1 - (1340/1440) × (1340/1440) ≈ 13.4%

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Comment | Thanks! Your answer was very clear and timely! Have a great day. |

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